MMA betting tips: UFC 275 preview & best bets

Jon Jones is no longer the dominant champion of UFC’s Light Heavyweight Division. The 205lbs weight division has been under the control of those who lived under Bones’ watch during Jones’ reign. This has weakened the validity of their victories and left the division in limbo until Jones returns to the UFC.

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Glover Teixeira, who has six consecutive wins and won the title at the age of 42, was one of Jones’ key beneficiaries. Despite being a senior MMA fighter, the Brazilian Pit Bull is still a formidable equalizer.

Although Teixeira’s rise to the top has been a MMA fairytale, a win for Jiri Prochazka would be a great victory for Light Heavyweight. Denisa made his debut one month after Denisa, the former champion, had given up the gold. It would be as if Prochazka had won the main event.

The perfect pairing

Prochazka will have to overcome Teixeira, who has a clear advantage on the mat. If the champion can force the fight to a floor, Prochazka should be able to stop it quickly. Six of Teixeira’s seven wins have been on the mat. Another victory seems possible if he can get a takedown in the early stages.

All fights start on the feet, and Prochazka will have considerable advantages in speed and power when striking. Teixeira has been repeatedly knocked to the ground by his opponents over the years and would not be able to endure prolonged exchanges at a distance.

The advantage that each man has in the area where their opponent is weakest increases the chance of the fight ending in a draw. Teixeira’s weakness on the feet will force this fight to begin at a rapid pace. With 57 of their 72 combined professional fights lasting UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS it is a great choice for the main event.

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Advantage Allen

BRENDAN ALLEN will face Jacob Malkoun before the main card action begins. Although both are the same age, All in has more experience than his opponent and has faced much tougher competition in the UFC.

Allen was a skilled submission wrestler when he first entered the UFC. He has won impressive victories over Kyle Daukaus and Kevin Holland. He has improved his striking skills and is now a more versatile fighter. Allen may be the best fighter in all aspects of martial arts against Malkoun.

Malkoun is a former champion and fan favorite UFC fighter Robert Whittaker’s training partner. His record was just 4-0 when Malkoun made his UFC debut in 2020. He was an underdog in all three of his subsequent UFC appearances but he won the last two.

While it has been amazing to see the Australian overcome the odds against stronger opponents, he has also benefited from being faced with the exact same archetype each time. Mamba was able to overcome one-punch knockouts and wrestle his way to a decision after their cardio stops them.

If Malkoun decides to fight Allen, a fighter who can fight for up to 15 minutes, he will put himself at risk against Allen’s unique submission offense. He can also trade with All In if he chooses to stand. However, it is unlikely that he will beat the superior striker through that route.

It is difficult to predict how Allen will lose this fight, except for Malkoun’s unexpected knockout. Although he is considered one of the strongest favourites, the oddsmakers agree with me that he should be paid a higher price. Combining ALLEN to WIN with UNDER 2.00 ROUNDS in main event seems like a safe bet. Some books have the double at 23/20.

Singapore sequel

JOANNA JEDRZEJCZYK and Weili Zhang’s fight was widely regarded the 2020 Fight Of The Year. Many argue that the 25-minute bout is the greatest Women’s MMA fight ever.

On that March night, both women rose to the occasion. Over 350 strikes were made and significant damage was inflicted on each side. Zhang was declared the winner. However, the scorecards of the judges were so inconsistent that it could have easily been the other way. Jedrzejczyk, round three, was the only round in which one of five rounds was decided unanimously in favor of Zhang.

Jedrzejczyk is a 13/8 underdog given how close their first encounter was. Although she may have been absent from the fight, the changes we have witnessed from Zhang could make the rematch more favorable for the former Polish champion.

Zhang has taken a greater interest in grappling with her opponents since she moved to the USA to train under Henry Cejudo. Magnum is not as skilled as she could be as a martial artist, which can be a good thing. However, Magnum did not look as strong on her feet in her two last fights. Jedrzejczyk is known for her incredible takedown defense and should be able stop her opponent’s grappling attempts with relative ease.

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This fight is a close matchup, and should reflect in the betting odds. Jedrzejczyk is worth the price, as both fighters should be about even money. Both women have proven their durability in the last fight. Therefore, backing Joanna Jedrzejczyk at Decision at 9/4 is a great way to get as much value from the betting line.